⏱️ INTRADAY JEV SCENARIO CHECK-IN

INTRADAY FUTURES JEV SCENARIO CHECK-IN (07:30 AM PT / 10:30 AM ET)

Date: 2026-10-06 | Session Phase: Initial Balance (IB) Closed (First 60 Minutes of RTH)
Source Baseline: 06:00 AM PT Multi-Asset Execution Plans | Evaluator: TypeSafe Jev (System One AI)

1. Executive Cross-Asset Scenario Board

Real-time calibrated probabilities from TypeSafe Jev quantifying which 6:00 AM morning scenario is playing out across all futures contracts:

Asset	Last Price	vs 6 AM Ref	RTH VWAP (Z-Score)	Active JEV Regime	JEV % Chance (vs 6 AM)	Setup Status	Tactical Action	Conviction
ES	`7,878.00`	+18.25	7,874.20 (+0.5σ)	Rotational Balance	`41.0%` (+40.0%)	`Consolidating / Pending Trigger`	Stand Aside / Wait for Pullback	`1.4/5.0`
NQ	`31,554.25`	+54.25	31,525.14 (+1.3σ)	Initiative Trend Discovery	`44.0%` (+42.0%)	`Invalidated / Counter-Move`	Stand Aside / Wait for Pullback	`1.9/5.0`
CL	`88.09`	+0.81	87.89 (+3.8σ)	Rotational Balance	`69.0%` (+65.0%)	`Consolidating / Pending Trigger`	Stand Aside / Wait for Pullback	`1.7/5.0`
GC	`4,176.70`	-20.20	4,183.56 (-2.1σ)	Rotational Balance	`66.0%` (+58.0%)	`Consolidating / Pending Trigger`	Stand Aside / Wait for Pullback	`1.9/5.0`

2. Granular Asset Audits & Morning Plan Comparisons

E-mini S&P 500 (ES=F)

Current Auction: 7,878.00 | RTH Open: 7,863.00 (+15.00 pts / +0.19%)
RTH Range: High 7,888.00 | Low 7,860.25
Session VWAP: 7,874.20 (Current Deviation: +0.54σ)
Initial Balance (IB): High 7,888.00 | Low 7,860.25 | Width 27.75 pts

TypeSafe Jev Calibrated Scenario Probabilities:

Inventory Correction / Mean Reversion: 20.0% (6 AM Baseline: 79.0%)
Initiative Trend Discovery: 39.0% (6 AM Baseline: 20.0%)
Rotational Balance: 41.0% (6 AM Baseline: 1.0%)
Morning Thesis Structural Integrity: 32.0% probability valid

Morning Plan Alignment & Action:

Setup Execution Status: Consolidating / Pending Trigger
Key Level Reference: Pivot: 7,832.50 - 7,827.50 | R1: | S1:
Tactical Recommendation: Stand Aside / Wait for Pullback (Conviction Score: 1.39/5.00)

E-mini Nasdaq-100 (NQ=F)

Current Auction: 31,554.25 | RTH Open: 31,513.25 (+41.00 pts / +0.13%)
RTH Range: High 31,583.75 | Low 31,457.75
Session VWAP: 31,525.14 (Current Deviation: +1.30σ)
Initial Balance (IB): High 31,583.75 | Low 31,457.75 | Width 126.00 pts

TypeSafe Jev Calibrated Scenario Probabilities:

Inventory Correction / Mean Reversion: 17.0% (6 AM Baseline: 92.0%)
Initiative Trend Discovery: 44.0% (6 AM Baseline: 2.0%)
Rotational Balance: 39.0% (6 AM Baseline: 6.0%)
Morning Thesis Structural Integrity: 39.0% probability valid

Morning Plan Alignment & Action:

Setup Execution Status: Invalidated / Counter-Move
Key Level Reference: Pivot: 31,320 - 31,365. This zone represents the confluence of the Prior Day VAH and the Overnight VPOC. Holding above this area is critical for bulls to maintain control; acceptance below it confirms the inventory correction is underway and traps overnight longs. | R1: | S1:
Tactical Recommendation: Stand Aside / Wait for Pullback (Conviction Score: 1.87/5.00)

WTI Crude Oil (CL=F)

Current Auction: 88.09 | RTH Open: 88.05 (+0.04 $/bbl / +0.05%)
RTH Range: High 88.20 | Low 87.67
Session VWAP: 87.89 (Current Deviation: +3.82σ)
Initial Balance (IB): High 88.20 | Low 87.67 | Width 0.53 $/bbl

TypeSafe Jev Calibrated Scenario Probabilities:

Inventory Correction / Mean Reversion: 21.0% (6 AM Baseline: 95.0%)
Initiative Trend Discovery: 10.0% (6 AM Baseline: 1.0%)
Rotational Balance: 69.0% (6 AM Baseline: 4.0%)
Morning Thesis Structural Integrity: 30.0% probability valid

Morning Plan Alignment & Action:

Setup Execution Status: Consolidating / Pending Trigger
Key Level Reference: Pivot: 87.15 (Overnight VPOC) | R1: | S1:
Tactical Recommendation: Stand Aside / Wait for Pullback (Conviction Score: 1.74/5.00)

Gold (GC=F)

Current Auction: 4,176.70 | RTH Open: 4,189.30 (-12.60 $/oz / -0.30%)
RTH Range: High 4,192.90 | Low 4,175.00
Session VWAP: 4,183.56 (Current Deviation: -2.10σ)
Initial Balance (IB): High 4,192.90 | Low 4,175.00 | Width 17.90 $/oz

TypeSafe Jev Calibrated Scenario Probabilities:

Inventory Correction / Mean Reversion: 25.0% (6 AM Baseline: 20.0%)
Initiative Trend Discovery: 9.0% (6 AM Baseline: 72.0%)
Rotational Balance: 66.0% (6 AM Baseline: 8.0%)
Morning Thesis Structural Integrity: 49.0% probability valid

Morning Plan Alignment & Action:

Setup Execution Status: Consolidating / Pending Trigger
Key Level Reference: Pivot: 4,172.00 (Prior Day VAH). This is the critical line in the sand. Acceptance above signals initiative continuation; acceptance below signals a failed auction and potential mean reversion. | R1: | S1:
Tactical Recommendation: Stand Aside / Wait for Pullback (Conviction Score: 1.86/5.00)

3. Systematic Execution Protocol for Next Interval

Next Automated Check-In: Look for the next scheduled update at 08:30 AM PT.
Risk Rule: If any contract approaches within 1 tick of the morning plan's Invalidation Boundary, close or trail stops immediately.
VWAP Rule: For mean-reversion setups, scale out 50-75% of contracts at Session VWAP and trail the runner to the 3M VPOC.

Automated Intraday Futures Check-In Pipeline. Powered by Auction Market Theory & TypeSafe Jev AI.