Date: 2026-10-02 | Session Phase: Initial Balance (IB) Closed (First 60 Minutes of RTH)
Source Baseline: 06:00 AM PT Multi-Asset Execution Plans | Evaluator: TypeSafe Jev (System One AI)
Real-time calibrated probabilities from TypeSafe Jev quantifying which 6:00 AM morning scenario is playing out across all futures contracts:
| Asset | Last Price | vs 6 AM Ref | RTH VWAP (Z-Score) | Active JEV Regime | JEV % Chance (vs 6 AM) | Setup Status | Tactical Action | Conviction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ES | 7,801.00 |
+4.00 | 7,793.88 (+1.2σ) | Initiative Trend Discovery | 56.0% (+38.0%) |
Consolidating / Pending Trigger |
Stand Aside / Wait for Pullback | 2.1/5.0 |
| NQ | 31,246.75 |
+91.25 | 31,184.27 (+1.3σ) | Rotational Balance | 36.0% |
Consolidating / Pending Trigger |
Stand Aside / Wait for Pullback | 3.2/5.0 |
| CL | 88.90 |
+0.06 | 89.11 (-0.5σ) | Inventory Correction / Mean Reversion | 60.0% (-38.0%) |
Consolidating / Pending Trigger |
Stand Aside / Wait for Pullback | 1.8/5.0 |
| GC | 4,205.40 |
-46.60 | 4,216.55 (-1.8σ) | Inventory Correction / Mean Reversion | 63.0% (-5.0%) |
Consolidating / Pending Trigger |
Stand Aside / Wait for Pullback | 2.1/5.0 |
7,801.00 | RTH Open: 7,789.50 (+11.50 pts / +0.15%)7,808.75 | Low 7,773.507,793.88 (Current Deviation: +1.18σ)7,808.75 | Low 7,773.50 | Width 35.25 pts28.0% (6 AM Baseline: 82.0%)56.0% (6 AM Baseline: 18.0%)16.0% (6 AM Baseline: 0.0%)35.0% probability validConsolidating / Pending Trigger7,723.25 - 7,727.50. This zone represents the Overnight Low and the Prior Day VAH. A sustained break below this level is the primary confirmation of the inventory correction thesis, signaling a failure of the gap-up and acceptance back into yesterday's range. | R1: | S1:2.12/5.00)31,246.75 | RTH Open: 31,147.75 (+99.00 pts / +0.32%)31,282.50 | Low 31,056.2531,184.27 (Current Deviation: +1.31σ)31,282.50 | Low 31,056.25 | Width 226.25 pts30.0% (6 AM Baseline: 74.0%)34.0% (6 AM Baseline: 26.0%)36.0% (6 AM Baseline: 0.0%)36.0% probability validConsolidating / Pending Trigger30,990.00 (Overnight VPOC) | R1: | S1:3.2/5.00)88.90 | RTH Open: 89.16 (-0.26 $/bbl / -0.29%)90.37 | Low 88.2089.11 (Current Deviation: -0.45σ)90.37 | Low 88.20 | Width 2.17 $/bbl60.0% (6 AM Baseline: 98.0%)1.0% (6 AM Baseline: 2.0%)39.0% (6 AM Baseline: 0.0%)32.0% probability validConsolidating / Pending Trigger88.06 - 88.95 (Overnight Low / Developing ON VAL) | R1: | S1:1.83/5.00)4,205.40 | RTH Open: 4,223.00 (-17.60 $/oz / -0.42%)4,231.60 | Low 4,198.204,216.55 (Current Deviation: -1.80σ)4,231.60 | Low 4,198.20 | Width 33.40 $/oz63.0% (6 AM Baseline: 68.0%)1.0% (6 AM Baseline: 31.0%)36.0% (6 AM Baseline: 1.0%)37.0% probability validConsolidating / Pending Trigger4,208.00 - 4,259.00. This zone represents the entire gap between yesterday's VAH and the overnight high. How the auction resolves within this zone will dictate the day's trajectory. | R1: | S1:2.09/5.00)Automated Intraday Futures Check-In Pipeline. Powered by Auction Market Theory & TypeSafe Jev AI.